Al McClaran, Chief Operating Officer of Southern Disaster Recovery was featured in the September issue of Connecticut Town & City Magazine. In the article, Al spoke of the challenges municipalities face “looking into the crystal ball” each season ahead of a storm and the questions that arise when confronted with allocating manpower and equipment when disaster strikes.
Meteorologists predicted an above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic, but Monday marked the halfway point of the season and not one hurricane has brewed yet.
In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a “very active” hurricane season and said they expected between seven and 11 hurricanes. In August, the NOAA lowered the numbers to between six and nine possible hurricanes, but anticipated that three to five of those could become major hurricanes — storms in which winds are above 111 mph.
When the NOAA released its second report, the lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Gerry Bell, Ph.D., said, “Our confidence for an above-normal season is still high because the predicted atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are favorable for storm development have materialized.”
However, Monday was the midpoint of the season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, and the Atlantic has yet to see a hurricane. Is it safe for those on the East Coast to drink their bottled water and eat their canned goods, regardless of predictions?
Dennis Feltgen, a NOAA meteorologist based in Florida, said, “it’s still forecast to be an active season and it still can be.”
Records tracking hurricanes date back to 1851 and since then, “there have been 20 other years where the first hurricane of the season has formed on or after Sept. 3,” Feltgen said.
The last time August passed without a hurricane was in 2002, when the first one formed Sept. 11, he said.
Feltgen said that regardless of the rarity of making it to Labor Day without a hurricane, “to write off the season would be a huge mistake,” because “we just entered the peak of the season.”
For the rest of the story CLICK HERE
Southern Disaster Recovery has joined the Connecticut Conference of Municipalities as a Municipal Business Associate Member. The team at SDR is very excited about working with municipal leaders and administrators to help make Connecticut a safer place to live and work.